Tinubu Reacts As World Bank Says Nigeria GDP Growing Faster Than Population

President Bola Tinubu has welcomed the World Bank’s October 2026 Nigeria Development Update, titled β€˜Beyond the Federal Purse: How Higher Revenues Reshaped State Priorities’.

Tinubu, in a statement on Sunday, said the institution’s findings β€œconfirm that the administration’s economic reforms are delivering results and placing the economy on a firmer footing for sustained growth”.

The President also noted the World Bank’s finding that the poverty rate had stabilised for the first time since 2019.

β€œThe Bank expects poverty to decline gradually as GDP grows faster than the population.

β€œThe report shows the economy grew 4.2 per cent in the first half of 2026, up from 3.9 per cent in the first half of 2025, despite the impact of the conflict in the Middle East. The World Bank projects growth to average at least 4.4 per cent between 2026 and 2028,” the statement signed by the Special Adviser to the President on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga, read in part.

β€œOn prices, the report notes that inflation fell from 27.6 per cent in January 2025 to 15.2 per cent in December 2025. Higher global fuel prices linked to the Middle East conflict have since slowed the decline, but the World Bank expects inflation to ease to about 12 per cent by 2028.

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β€œNigeria’s external position also strengthened. The current account surplus rose to US$12.0 billion, or 7.0 per cent of GDP, in the first half of 2026, up from US$8.6 billion a year earlier. Gross external reserves increased from US$45.5 billion at the end of 2025 to US$53.8 billion at the end of August 2026,” it added.

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Tinubu said that the report credited the reforms since 2023 with raising federation revenues by 69 per cent in real terms between 2023 and 2025, with states as the largest beneficiaries.

According to him, states used the additional resources to increase capital spending by 151 per cent in real terms over the same period.

The President said that most of the increase went to roads and other transport, agriculture, energy and housing, while 29 of 33 states shifted their spending towards economic infrastructure, with real social spending per person rising in β€œall but one state”.

β€œThe World Bank further found that internally generated revenue grew in real terms in 31 of 35 states; 21 states reduced their debt-to-GDP ratio between 2021 and 2025; Nigeria’s overall public debt is expected to fall from 40.0 per cent of GDP in 2025 to 38.1 per cent in 2026,” the statement revealed.

Tinubu further said that the findings confirmed that the difficult but necessary decisions to remove the petrol subsidy, unify the foreign exchange market and strengthen fiscal discipline have raised revenues, stabilised the economy and created fiscal space for every tier of government to invest in its people.

β€œThe dividends of reform are becoming visible. But more work remains to ensure they fully translate into better living standards for every household, starting with lower food prices and decent jobs for our young people.

β€œOur administration will stay the course of reform and redouble its focus on inclusive growth under the Renewed Hope Agenda,” he added.

The President stated that his administration would continue to expand targeted cash transfers, which had already reached more than 10 million households, accelerate the deployment of CNG, raise agricultural productivity, and improve access to affordable healthcare and quality education, so that the prosperity being created is shared by all.

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He urged state governments to use their higher revenues more prudently and prioritise projects that improve the living standards of Nigerians, and the health and education of our people.

β€œI commend the Economic Management Team led by the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, state governors and all stakeholders for their cooperation in implementing these reforms,” the statement added. β€œI assure Nigerians that the best is yet to come under the Renewed Hope Agenda 2.0, which will accelerate the delivery of shared prosperity for all Nigerians.”

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